多源统计数据驱动的航空发动机剩余寿命预测方法

赵广社 1; 2; 吴思思 2; 4; 荣海军 2; 3; 4

doi:10.7652/xjtuxb201711021

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多源统计数据驱动的航空发动机剩余寿命预测方法

更新时间：2025-07-09

- 多源统计数据驱动的航空发动机剩余寿命预测方法
- A Multi-Source Statistics Data-Driven Method for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Aircraft Engine
- 西安交通大学学报 2017年51卷第11期页码：150-155+172
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 西安交通大学电子与信息工程学院,西安,710049
  2. 西安交通大学机械结构强度与振动国家重点实验室,西安,710049
  3. 西安交通大学陕西省先进飞行器服役环境与控制重点实验室,西安,710049
  4. 西安交通大学航天航空学院,西安,710049
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  : 2017-04-05。作者简介: 赵广社(1966—),男,教授,博士生导师;荣海军(通信作者),女,副教授,博士生导师。基金项目: 国家重点基础研究发展计划资助项目(2015CB057406)
- DOI：10.7652/xjtuxb201711021
  中图分类号： V263
- 网络首发：2017-11-10，
  
  纸质出版：2017
- 稿件说明：
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赵广社 1, 2, 吴思思 2, 等. 多源统计数据驱动的航空发动机剩余寿命预测方法[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 2017,51(11):150-155+172.

A Multi-Source Statistics Data-Driven Method for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Aircraft Engine[J]. 2017, 51(11): 150-155+172.
赵广社 1, 2, 吴思思 2, 等. 多源统计数据驱动的航空发动机剩余寿命预测方法[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 2017,51(11):150-155+172. DOI： 10.7652/xjtuxb201711021.

A Multi-Source Statistics Data-Driven Method for Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Aircraft Engine[J]. 2017, 51(11): 150-155+172. DOI： 10.7652/xjtuxb201711021.

摘要

针对统计数据驱动方法中多变量无法建立退化模型的问题

提出了一种多源统计数据驱动的航空发动机剩余寿命(RUL)预测方法。建立了基于欧氏距离的航空发动机监测信息融合模型

综合多源监测数据以量化发动机健康状态退化过程; 构建了基于非线性漂移维纳过程的航空发动机退化模型

推导发动机剩余寿命概率密度函数解析式

实现对发动机剩余寿命的估计。选取C-MAPSS数据集进行仿真实验

结果表明

与已有研究结果相比

所提方法预测结果在确定系数和惩罚得分两项均有所改进。该方法可为其他非线性退化系统的RUL预测提供一定的参考。

Abstract

A multi-source statistical data-driven method for remaining useful life(RUL)prediction of aircraft engines is proposed to solve the difficulty that the multivariate degradation model cannot be constructed. To quantify the degradation process of aircraft engines with the multi-source monitoring data

an information fusion model based on Euclidean distance is established. To estimate the RUL of aircraft engines

the arithmetic model of aircraft engines consisting of Wiener process with nonlinear drift is considered to derive the probability density function of RUL. The performance of the proposed method is verified by C-MAPSS. The simulations show that the proposed method improves coefficient of determination and total score compared with the existing results. The proposed approach provides new insights to RUL prediction of the other nonlinear degradation systems.

关键词

Keywords

references

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