分接开关快速机构时变运动可靠性与灵敏度分析

段金燕; 赵强强; 汪可; 李戈琦; 张进华; 洪军

doi:10.7652/xjtuxb202310012

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

分接开关快速机构时变运动可靠性与灵敏度分析

—————————————————————— | 更新时间：2025-05-08

- 分接开关快速机构时变运动可靠性与灵敏度分析
- Time-Dependent Kinematic Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis for the Quick Mechanism of the Tap-Changer
- 西安交通大学学报 2023年57卷第10期页码：121-131
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 西安交通大学机械工程学院,西安,710049
  2. 西安交通大学现代设计及转子轴承系统教育部重点实验室,西安,710049
  3. 中国电力科学研究院有限公司,北京,100192
- 作者简介：
  
  : 2022-12-15。作者简介: 段金燕(1999—),女,博士生
  赵强强(通信作者),男,助理教授,硕士生导师。基金项目: 国家重点研发计划资助项目(2021YFB2402100)
- 基金信息：
  
  : 2022-12-15。作者简介: 段金燕(1999—),女,博士生;赵强强(通信作者),男,助理教授,硕士生导师。基金项目: 国家重点研发计划资助项目(2021YFB2402100);国家自然科学基金资助项目(52205539);陕西省青年科学基金资助项目(2022JQ-388)。
- DOI：10.7652/xjtuxb202310012
  中图分类号： TH122
- 网络首发：2023-10-10，
  
  纸质出版：2023
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
段金燕, 赵强强, 汪可, 等. 分接开关快速机构时变运动可靠性与灵敏度分析[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 2023,57(10):121-131.

DUAN Jinyan, ZHAO Qiangqiang, WANG Ke, et al. Time-Dependent Kinematic Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis for the Quick Mechanism of the Tap-Changer[J]. 2023, 57(10): 121-131.
段金燕, 赵强强, 汪可, 等. 分接开关快速机构时变运动可靠性与灵敏度分析[J]. 西安交通大学学报, 2023,57(10):121-131. DOI： 10.7652/xjtuxb202310012.

DUAN Jinyan, ZHAO Qiangqiang, WANG Ke, et al. Time-Dependent Kinematic Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis for the Quick Mechanism of the Tap-Changer[J]. 2023, 57(10): 121-131. DOI： 10.7652/xjtuxb202310012.

摘要

为提高考虑运动失效参数影响的快速机构的运动精度

提出了一种基于首次穿越法的快速机构时变运动可靠性与灵敏度分析方法。首先

分析了快速机构运动的失效因素

明确了零部件加工与装配等随机误差对机构运动精度的影响; 接着

根据储能过程的平面机构运动方程

利用矢量环法构建了快速机构的运动误差极限状态函数

建立了时变运动可靠性分析模型; 然后

联合一阶线性估计、高维高斯条件分布以及一阶高斯截断矩特性

推导了一种新的时变运动可靠性首次穿越率解析公式; 最后

结合数值积分求解方法

得到了快速机构时变运动的失效概率序列与灵敏度。仿真结果表明:在保障快速机构运动精度的过程中

应重点关注机构中的拨钉定位误差及偏心凸轮尺寸公差; 所提方法得到的时变运动失效概率与蒙特卡罗法的计算结果相接近

但其计算成本却仅为蒙特卡罗法的0.04%。

Abstract

To improve the kinematic precision of a quick mechanism by considering influence of motion failure parameters

a time-dependent kinematic reliability and sensitivity analysis method for the quick mechanism was proposed based on the first-passage method. First

the factors contributing to random errors in parts processing and assembly were identified via a comprehensive analysis of the failure factors affecting the kinematic precision of the quick mechanism. Using the vector loop method and the motion equation of the planar mechanism during the energy storage process

a limit-state function for motion error was constructed

forming the basis for establishing a time-dependent kinematic reliability analysis model. Subsequently

a novel analytical formula for the outcrossing rate of time-dependent kinematic reliability was developed by employing the first-order linear estimation

conditional multivariate Gaussian distribution

and first-order moment of the truncated multivariate Gaussian distribution. Finally

the time-dependent kinematic failure probability sequence and sensitivity analysis for the quick mechanism were obtained using numerical integration methods. Simulation results show that particular attention should be given to the positioning error of the pin and the dimensional tolerance of the eccentric cam in the process of improving the kinematic precision of the quick mechanism. The proposed method yields time-dependent kinematic failure probabilities that are close to those obtained using the Monte Carlo method

but with a significantly reduced simulation cost(only 0.04% of the Monte Carlo method).

关键词

Keywords

references

姚志松, 姚磊. 有载分接开关实用手册 [M]. 北京: 中国电力出版社, 2003.

王绍武, 李鹏, 李金忠, 等. 变压器真空有载分接开关研究综述 [J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2022, 42(18): 6893-6907.

WANG Shaowu, LI Peng, LI Jinzhong, et al. Overview of transformer vacuum-type on-load tap changers [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2022, 42(18): 6893-6907.

ZHANG Junfu, DU Xiaoping. Time-dependent reliability analysis for function generator mechanisms [J]. Journal of Mechanical Design, 2011, 133(3): 031005.

李彦锋, 黄洪钟, 黄意贤. 太阳翼驱动机构的故障模式影响分析与时变可靠性研究 [J]. 机械工程学报, 2020, 56(5): 108-115.

LI Yanfeng, HUANG Hongzhong, HUANG Yixian. Failure mode and effects analysis and time varying reliability of solar array drive assembly [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2020, 56(5): 108-115.

俞水, 汪忠来. 基于首次穿越时间概率密度的时变可靠性分析 [J]. 计算力学学报, 2020, 37(3): 300-306.

YU Shui, WANG Zhonglai. Time-dependent reliability analysis based on probability density of first-passage time point [J]. Chinese Journal of Computational Mechanics, 2020, 37(3): 300-306.

SEO J, MA Hui, SAHA T K. A joint vibration and arcing measurement system for online condition monitoring of onload tap changer of the power transformer [J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Delivery, 2017, 32(2): 1031-1038.

王丰华, 曾全昊, 郑一鸣, 等. 基于Bayes估计相空间融合和CM-SVDD的有载分接开关机械故障诊断 [J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2020, 40(1): 358-368.

WANG Fenghua, ZENG Quanhao, ZHENG Yiming, et al. A mechanical fault diagnosis of on-load tap-changers based on phase space fusion of Bayes estimation and CM-SVDD [J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2020, 40(1): 358-368.

刘志远, 缪辉, 于晓军, 等. 基于神经网络响应面模型的有载分接开关弹簧储能故障的识别 [J]. 电力科学与技术学报, 2021, 36(3): 203-210.

LIU Zhiyuan, MIAO Hui, YU Xiaojun, et al. An identification method for spring energy storage fault of on-load tap changer based on neural network response surface model [J]. Journal of Electric Power Science and Technology, 2021, 36(3): 203-210.

李小双. 有载调压变压器分接开关机械故障诊断研究 [D]. 保定: 华北电力大学, 2021.

金雷, 罗维, 周凯, 等. 真空有载分接开关常见故障原因及运行可靠提升措施 [J]. 变压器, 2022, 59(3): 13-17.

JIN Lei, LUO Wei, ZHOU Kai, et al. Common fault causes and measures to improve operation reliability of vacuum on-load tap changer [J]. Transformer, 2022, 59(3): 13-17.

中国电力科学研究院有限公司, 西安交通大学. 一种用于有载分接开关的快速机构装置: CN202111054823.9 [P]. 2022-01-14.

唐健钧, 田锡天, 耿俊浩, 等. 基于多维矢量环的装配偏差源敏感度分析 [J]. 机械工程学报, 2015, 51(17): 156-161.

TANG Jianjun, TIAN Xitian, GENG Junhao, et al. Sensitivity analysis of assembly deviation source based on multidimensional vector loop [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2015, 51(17): 156-161.

陈建军, 陈勇, 高伟, 等. 平面四杆机构运动精度可靠性分析与数字仿真 [J]. 西安电子科技大学学报, 2001, 28(6): 759-763.

CHEN Jianjun, CHEN Yong, GAO Wei, et al. Reliability analysis and simulation for kinematics accuracy of the flat four-bar mechanism [J]. Journal of Xidian University, 2001, 28(6): 759-763.

ZHAO Qiangqiang, GUO Junkang, HONG Jun. Time-dependent system kinematic reliability analysis for planar parallel manipulators [J]. Mechanism and Machine Theory, 2020, 152: 103939.

黄贤振, 赵庆栋, 李少东, 等. 渐开线圆柱齿轮系统运动精度可靠性分析 [J]. 计算机集成制造系统, 2014, 20(9): 2210-2214.

HUANG Xianzhen, ZHAO Qingdong, LI Shaodong, et al. Reliability analysis for kinematic accuracy of involute cylindrical gear systems [J]. Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems, 2014, 20(9): 2210-2214.

ARMILLOTTA A. Tolerance analysis of gear trains by static analogy [J]. Mechanism and Machine Theory, 2019, 135: 65-80.

CHOI D H, YOO H H. Reliability analysis of a robot manipulator operation employing single Monte-Carlo simulation [J]. Key Engineering Materials, 2006, 321-323: 1568-1571.

LU Qinghua, WANG Li, LI Longsuo. Efficient uncertainty quantification of stochastic problems in CFD by combination of compressed sensing and POD-Kriging [J]. Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering, 2022, 396: 115118.

CHEN Jianbing, LI Jie. The extreme value distribution and dynamic reliability analysis of nonlinear structures with uncertain parameters [J]. Structural Safety, 2007, 29(2): 77-93.

RICE S O. Mathematical analysis of random noise [J]. The Bell System Technical Journal, 1944, 23(3): 282-332.

SUDRET B. Analytical derivation of the outcrossing rate in time-variant reliability problems [J]. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 2008, 4(5): 353-362.

LUTES L D, SARKANI S. Reliability analysis of systems subject to first-passage failure [EB/OL].(2009-07-01)[2022-08-15]. https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20100011340.

JOHNSON R A, WICHERN D W. Applied multivariate statistical analysis [M]. State of New Jersey, USA: Pearson, 2007.

JAWITZ J W. Moments of truncated continuous univariate distributions [J]. Advances in Water Resources, 2004, 27(3): 269-281.

龙进, 张均富, 王进戈. 平面四杆转向机构运动可靠性灵敏度分析 [J]. 机械设计与研究, 2011, 27(6): 21-23, 26.

LONG Jin, ZHANG Junfu, WANG Jinge. The kinematic reliability sensitivity analysis of planar four-bar steering mechanism [J]. Machine Design Research, 2011, 27(6): 21-23, 26.

张义民, 黄贤振, 贺向东. 不完全概率信息牛头刨床机构运动精度可靠性稳健设计 [J]. 机械工程学报, 2009, 45(4): 105-110.

ZHANG Yimin, HUANG Xianzhen, HE Xiangdong. Reliability-based robust design for kinematic accuracy of the shaper mechanism under incomplete probability information [J]. Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2009, 45(4): 105-110.

浏览量

下载量

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

提交

工具集

关联资源

结构-语义-残差协同的图像压缩框架：面向隐私保护与高保真重建

面向高海拔空冷发电机防晕性能演化规律的电热耦合研究

离子液体改性燃料的电流体动力学效应研究

水蒸气掺混对氨裂解气旋流燃烧与排放特性的影响研究

不同板叠材料热声热机能量转换过程数值模拟研究