An adaptive SIQRS(susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered-susceptible)spreading dynamics model is proposed to solve the problem that it is difficult to describe the spreading mechanism of malicious softwares in cyber-physical system(CPS). The quarantined mechanism is employed to describe the perception and control abilities of CPS
and the link rewired mechanism is introduced to depict the adaptability of CPS. The spreading rules of malicious softwares are analyzed
and their differential dynamic equations are presented based on the mean field theory. Numerical simulation results with different parameters show that when the infection rate is less than the epidemic persistence threshold
malicious softwares cannot spread in CPS; when the infection rate is larger than the epidemic persistence threshold and less than the epidemic threshold
a backward bifurcation occurs which causes the bistability; when the infection rate is larger than the epidemic threshold
CPS is stable at the endemic equilibrium; and a Hopf bifurcation occurs when the parameters satisfy a specific condition. It is concluded that the adaptive SIQRS model can accurately describe the spreading mechanism of malicious softwares in CPS.
关键词
Keywords
references
National Science Foundation of the United States. Cyber-physical system(CPS)program solicitation [EB/OL].(2013-01-14)[2014-05-29]. http:∥www.nsf.gov.
RAJKUMAR R, LEE I, SHA L. Cyber-physical systems: the next computing revolution [C]∥Proceedings of the 47th ACM/IEEE Conference on Design Automation. Piscataway, NJ, USA: IEEE, 2010: 731-736.
SAMPIGETHAYA K, POOVENDRAN R. Aviation cyber-physical systems: foundations for future aircraft and air transport [J]. Proceedings of the IEEE, 2013, 1010(8): 1834-1855.
何积丰. Cyber-physical Systems [J]. 中国计算机学会通讯, 2010, 6(1): 25-29.
HE Jifeng. Cyber-physical systems [J]. Communications of the China Computer Federation, 2010, 6(1): 25-29.
LEE I, SOKOLSKY O, CHEN Sanjian, et al. Challenges and research directions in medical cyber-physical systems [J]. Proceedings of the IEEE, 2012, 100(1): 75-90.
PASTOR-SATORRAS R, VESPIGNANI A. Epidemic spreading in scale-free networks [J]. Physical Review Letters, 2001, 86(14): 3200-3203.
BUONOMO B, RIONERO S. On the Lapunov stability for SIRS epidemic models with general nonlinear incidence rate [J]. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2010, 217(8): 4010-4016.
TOUTONJI O A, YOO S, PARK M. Stability analysis of VEISV propagation modeling for network worm attack [J]. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2012, 36(6): 2751-2761.
WANG Fangwei, ZHANG Yunkai, WANG Changguang, et al. Stability analysis of a SEIQV epidemic model for rapid spreading worms [J]. Computers and Security, 2010, 29(4): 410-418.
SHAW L B, SCHWARTZ I B. Fluctuating epidemics on adaptive networks [J]. Physical Review: E, 2008, 77(6): 248-262.
HERBERT H, MA Zhien, LIAO Shengbing. Effects of quarantine in six endemic models for infectious diseases [J]. Mathematical Bioscience, 2002, 180(1): 141-160.
LU Yanling, JIANG Guoping, SONG Yurong. Stability and bifurcation of epidemic spreading on adaptive network [J]. Acta Physica Sinica, 2013, 62(13): 1-9.
BARABASI A L, ALBERT R. Emergence of scaling in random networks [J]. Science, 1999, 286(5439): 509-512.