Fast Composite-Event Probability Algorithm in Power System Adequacy Analysis

徐林; 王秀丽; 王锡凡; 滕予非

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Fast Composite-Event Probability Algorithm in Power System Adequacy Analysis

更新时间：2025-12-08

- Fast Composite-Event Probability Algorithm in Power System Adequacy Analysis
- Vol. 42, Issue 6, Pages: 713-717(2008)
- 作者机构：
  
  西安交通大学电气工程学院,西安,710049
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC： TM732
- Online First：09 June 2008，
  
  Published：2008
- 稿件说明：
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徐林, 王秀丽, 王锡凡, et al. Fast Composite-Event Probability Algorithm in Power System Adequacy Analysis[J]. 2008, 42(6): 713-717.
DOI：

徐林, 王秀丽, 王锡凡, et al. Fast Composite-Event Probability Algorithm in Power System Adequacy Analysis[J]. 2008, 42(6): 713-717. DOI：

摘要

提出了一种可应用于电力系统充裕度分析的快速组合事件概率求取方法.该方法根据二值决策图的基本原理

采用二叉树作为基本数据结构

在电力系统充裕度计算所有可行状态已知的情况下

只需一次回代即可求出相应的系统充裕度指标

具有原理清晰、算法简单、易于实现的特点.理论分析和实际算例表明

其时间和空间复杂度都是问题规模的线性函数

有着比经典inclusion-exclusion法则更好的计算效率

IEEE RTS-24节点系统算例的计算表明了该算法在实际应用中的正确性和有效性.

Abstract

Fast composite-event probability algorithm with both linear time and space complexity is proposed. Based on the binary decision diagrams

the binary tree serves as the essential data structure in the presented algorithm

where the system adequacy index is obtained simply once if all the valid system states are known. The complexity of the presented algorithm depends linearly on the problem scale

which is endowed with a better performance than the classical inclusion-exclusion principle. A numerical example of IEEE RTS-24 test system confirms the validity.

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references

US-Canada Power System Outage Task Force. Final report on the august 14, 2003 blackout in the United States and Canada: causes and recommendations [EB/OL].(2004-10-12)[2006-08-22]. https:∥reports.energy.gov/BlackoutFinal-Web.pdf.

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SINNAMON R M, ANDREWS J D.Fault tree analysis and binary decision diagrams[C]∥Proceedings of IEEE Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. Piscataway, NJ, USA: IEEE, 1996:22-25.

YOSHIKAWA N,TAGO H,YONEYAMA K.A new design approach for RSFQ logic circuits based on the binary decision diagram[J].IEEE Transactions on Applied Superconductivity,1999,9(2):3161-3164.

ANDREWS J D,DUNNETT S J.Event-tree analysis using binary decision diagrams[J].IEEE Transactions on Reliability,2000,49(2):230-238.

王锡凡.电网可靠性评估的随机网流模型[J].电力系统自动化,2006,30(12):1-6.

WANG Xifan.Probabilistic network-flow models for reliability evaluation of power networks[J].Automation of Electric Power Systems,2006,30(12):1-6.

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